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So Colo PVI by State House District

MetaData — Sat, 11 Nov 2006 19:22:57 +0000

The image shows the Southern Front range of Colorado Presidential Voting Index split by Colo House Districts. PVI is a measure of the 2004 Kerry-Bush voting results. Click on the image for a larger view.

N Colo PVI by State House District

MetaData — Sat, 11 Nov 2006 19:17:58 +0000

The image shows the Presidential Voting Index (Kerry-Bush) across Colorado’s Northern front range state house districts. County lines split the districts, so all of Windsor is actually in HD49.

Purple is about even, Violet is Republican. Weld county is deep red, which is not as Republican as bright red would be (see HD20 in the Southern Front range map).

There has been a lot of growth in Southern Larimer and Eastern Weld, larger homes in exurban land-planning.

Vast Left Wing Conspiracy

MetaData — Sat, 11 Nov 2006 00:19:58 +0000

In These Times published a great artical April 14, 2005 comparing the VLWC and the VRWC. Here is a link to the PDF file of the VLWC diagram from the ITT article.

VLWC from ITT

CO-07 PVI Geographic Distribution

MetaData — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 23:30:30 +0000

Ed Perlmutter and Rick O’Donnell are the 2006 House candidates in CO-07. Although voter registration across the district is approximately evenly split. Kerry won the district by 52% to 45% in 2004. The table shows County voting results for district CD-07.

County	Kerry	Bush	PVI	Dem Reg	Rep Reg	Unaff
Adams	53.8%	44.3%	9.5%	37.9%	27.4%	34.5%
Arapahoe	58.7%	39.1%	19.6%	35.6%	27.4%	36.8%
Jefferson	49.9%	48.1%	1.8%	31.5%	35.4%	32.8%
CD-07	52.6%	45.3%	7.3%	33.6%	31.9%	34.1%

Viewing the presidential voting by house district shows a more detailed partisan breakdown. HD27 in Arvada and HD22 (Southern third of Lakewood) show up as purple, the most Republican portions of CO-07. In 2004 Bill Crane won HD27 by 52% to 48%, and Matt Koedler won HD22 by the same percentages. Sara Gagliardi is challenging Bill Crane in 2006, and Jason Haberkorn is challenging Kenneth Summers.

Colorado 2004 PVI by HD

MetaData — Sat, 04 Nov 2006 01:03:42 +0000

2004 Kerry-Bush voting is available by county from the Secretary of State’s office. A Presidential Voting Index (PVI) can be created by transforming the county results to the House district via an estimation process. Colorado population density is very small over much of the state, so the PVI map is masked to show only the populated areas. Bright blue shows the Democratic margin. Bright red, dark red and violet show the Republican margin. Purple is in between.

Click on the image below to get a 1M high-resolution image of Colorado PVI by House District:

Colorado’s CD-07 shows Ed Perlmutter winning.

MetaData — Fri, 03 Nov 2006 15:29:28 +0000

From Pollster.com

Welcome to Reality Biased!

MetaData — Fri, 10 Feb 2006 19:00:00 +0000

Welcome to Reality Biased. This website is dedicated to data-mining applied to political & demographic data, “psycho-graphics”, opinion polling and historical voting results. Observables of interest: Dimensionality and Metrics, Cross-tabs or Dis-aggregation and GIS. Report format: Title, Talking Points, Executive Summary, Discussion, Data, References, Image or Graphics with Impact.

Inspired by high-impact graphical and image display of data. For example, see the political impact of displaying Kerry-Bush election returns by population center instead of geographic area: